Identifying Infants and Young Children at Risk of Unplanned Hospital Admissions and Clinic Visits in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania

在坦桑尼亚达累斯萨拉姆识别有非计划住院和门诊就诊风险的婴幼儿

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Pediatric inpatient mortality rates are as high as 11% in parts of sub-Saharan Africa. Unscheduled clinic visits also burden children in sub-Saharan Africa. Our objective was to identify factors associated with hospital admissions and unscheduled clinic visits among Tanzanian children < 24 months of age. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of 2 trials conducted in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. We performed univariate and Poisson multivariable regression analyses to identify factors associated with hospital admissions and unscheduled clinic visits. RESULTS: Of 4784 children < 24 months of age, 293 (6.1%) were hospitalized at least once and 1308 (27.3%) had ≥ 1 unscheduled clinic visit. Infants and children who were exposed to but HIV-negative had increased risk of hospital admission [adjusted risk ratios (aRR): 3.67; 95% CI: 2.45-5.50; P < 0.001] compared with HIV-unexposed children. Those who were HIV-positive had even higher risk of hospital admission compared with those not exposed to HIV (aRR: 10.87; 95% CI: 7.01-16.89; P < 0.001). Birth weight and breast-feeding status were not associated with increased risk of hospital admission. Children with Apgar scores < 7 (aRR: 1.32; 95% CI: 1.03-1.69; P = 0.001), not exclusively breast-fed up to 6 months of age (aRR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.12-1.60; P = 0.001), and who were HIV-exposed and HIV-negative (aRR: 2.35; 95% CI: 2.08-2.66; P < 0.001) or HIV-positive (aRR: 3.02; 95% CI: 2.52-3.61; P < 0.001) had higher risk of unscheduled clinic visits. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to HIV and being HIV-positive were associated with the greatest risk for hospital admission and unplanned clinic visits among infants and children in Tanzania. Targeting these vulnerable populations in interventional studies may reduce morbidity.

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