Abstract
AIMS: Critical limb ischemia (CLI) is an emerging public health threat and lacks a reliable score for predicting the outcomes. The Age, Body Mass Index, Chronic Kidney Disease, Diabetes, and Genotyping (ABCD-GENE) risk score helps identify patients with coronary artery disease who have cytochrome P450 2C19 (CYP2C19) polymorphism-related drug resistance and are at risk for cardiovascular adverse events. However, its application to CLI remains unknown. In this study, we aim to validate a modified ACD-GENE-CLI score to improve the prediction of major adverse limb events (MALEs) in patients with CLI receiving clopidogrel. METHODS: Patients with CLI receiving clopidogrel post-endovascular intervention were enrolled prospectively in two medical centers. Amputation and revascularization as MALEs were regarded as the outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 473 patients were recruited, with a mean follow-up duration of 25 months. Except for obesity, old age, diabetes, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and CYP2C19 polymorphisms were significantly associated with MALEs. Using bootstrap regression analysis, we established a modified risk score (ACD-GENE-CLI) that included old age (≥ 65 years), diabetes, CKD, and CYP2C19 polymorphisms. At a cutoff value of 8, the ACD-GENE-CLI score was superior to the CYP2C19 deficiency only, and the conventional ABCD-GENE score in predicting MALEs (area under the curve: 0.69 vs. 0.59 vs. 0.67, p=0.01). The diagnostic ability of the ACD-GENE-CLI score was consistent in the external validation. Also, Kaplan-Meier curves showed that in CYP2C19 deficiency, the ABCD-GENE and ACD-GENE-CLI scores could all differentiate patients with CLI who are free from MALEs. CONCLUSIONS: The modified ACD-GENE-CLI score could differentiate patients with CLI receiving clopidogrel who are at risk of MALEs. Further studies are required to generalize the utility of the score.