Abstract
PURPOSE: To predict the development of glaucomatous visual field (VF) defects using Fourier-domain optical coherence tomography (FD OCT) measurements at baseline visit. DESIGN: Multicenter longitudinal observational study. Glaucoma suspects and preperimetric glaucoma participants in the Advanced Imaging for Glaucoma Study. METHODS: The optic disc, peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer (NFL), and macular ganglion cell complex (GCC) were imaged with FD OCT. VF was assessed every 6 months. Conversion to perimetric glaucoma was defined by VF pattern standard deviation (PSD) or glaucoma hemifield test (GHT) outside normal limits on 3 consecutive tests. Hazard ratios were calculated with the Cox proportional hazard model. Predictive accuracy was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Of 513 eyes (309 participants), 55 eyes (46 participants) experienced VF conversion during 41 ± 23 months of follow-up. Significant (P < .05, Cox regression) FD OCT risk factors included all GCC, NFL, and disc variables, except for horizontal cup-to-disc ratio. GCC focal loss volume (FLV) was the best single predictor of conversion (AUC = 0.753, P < .001 for test against AUC = 0.5). Those with borderline or abnormal GCC-FLV had a 4-fold increase in conversion risk after 6 years (Kaplan-Meier). Optimal prediction of conversion was obtained using the glaucoma composite conversion index (GCCI) based on a multivariate Cox regression model that included GCC-FLV, inferior NFL quadrant thickness, age, and VF PSD. GCCI significantly improved predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.783) over any single variable (P = .04). CONCLUSIONS: Reductions in NFL and GCC thickness can predict the development of glaucomatous VF loss in glaucoma suspects and preperimetric glaucoma patients.