Predictive factors for three-year mortality after discharge in elderly patients: a comparison of those with and without diabetes

老年患者出院后三年死亡率的预测因素:糖尿病患者与非糖尿病患者的比较

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Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with increased mortality in hospitalized adults. However, data regarding the impact of DM on long-term mortality after discharge in very old patients are scarce. This prospective study assessed 3-year post-discharge mortality and its predictive factors in older patients, focusing on possible differences between patients with and without DM. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Medical history, chronic medication use, clinical and laboratory characteristics, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), 5-item Fried Frailty Score (FFS), Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), Barthel Index (BI), and Katz Index were recorded on admission. RESULTS: A total of 815 older adults (46.0% males) with a median age of 83.0 years (IQR: 77.0-88.0) were included in the study. The 3-year mortality rate was 54.9% in patients with DM (n = 368) and 60.2% in patients without DM (n = 447, p = 0.13 between groups). In multivariate logistic analysis, nursing home residency, higher CCI, higher CFS, higher FFS, lower BI, the total number of days of hospitalization in the past year, and hospital-acquired infections were independently associated with the 3-year mortality in both groups. In individuals with DM, lower body mass index (BMI) and elevated urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) were identified as additional independent predictors of 3-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: A high post-discharge mortality rate was observed in very old patients. DM was not identified as an independent factor of post-discharge mortality. Assessment of frailty and disability in very old patients is important for predicting long-term post-discharge mortality. Additionally, in patients with DM, evaluating BMI and UACR may aid in better prediction of 3-year mortality.

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