Use of an electronic medical record to optimize a neonatal sepsis score for mortality prediction

利用电子病历优化新生儿败血症评分以预测死亡率

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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Late-onset sepsis (LOS) is a significant cause of mortality in preterm infants. The neonatal sequential organ failure assessment (nSOFA) provides an objective assessment of sepsis risk but requires manual calculation. We developed an EMR pipeline to automate nSOFA calculation for more granular analysis of score performance and to identify optimal alerting thresholds. METHODS: Infants born <33 weeks of gestation with LOS were included. A SQL-based pipeline calculated hourly nSOFA scores 48 h before/after sepsis evaluation. Sensitivity analysis identified the optimal timing and threshold of nSOFA for LOS mortality. RESULTS: Eighty episodes of LOS were identified (67 survivors, 13 non-survivor). Non-survivors had persistently elevated nSOFA scores, markedly increasing 12 h prior to culture. At sepsis evaluation, the AUC for nSOFA >2 was 0.744 (p = 0.0047); thresholds of >3 and >4 produced lower AUCs. CONCLUSIONS: nSOFA is persistently elevated for infants with LOS mortality compared to survivors with an optimal alert threshold >2.

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