Abstract
IMPORTANCE: Cross-sectional evidence implicates high prevalent frailty in patients with Parkinson disease (PD), whereas the longitudinal association remains unknown. OBJECTIVES: To examine the longitudinal association of the frailty phenotype with the development of PD and to explore the modification role of genetic risk of PD in such an association. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective cohort study launched in 2006 to 2010 with a follow-up of 12 years. Data were analyzed from March 2022 to December 2022. The UK Biobank recruited over 500 000 middle-aged and older adults from 22 assessment centers across the United Kingdom. Participants who were younger than 40 years (n = 101), diagnosed with dementia or PD at baseline, and developed dementia, PD, or died within 2 years from baseline were excluded (n = 4050). Participants who had no genetic data or mismatch between genetic sex and reported gender (n = 15 350), were not of self-reported British White descent (n = 27 850), and had no data for frailty assessment (n = 100 450) or any covariates were also excluded (n = 39 706). The final analysis included 314 998 participants. EXPOSURES: The physical frailty was assessed by the Fried criteria's frailty phenotype through 5 domains, ie, weight loss, exhaustion, low physical activity, slow walking speed, and low grip strength. The polygenic risk score (PRS) for PD comprised 44 single-nucleotide variants. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: New-onset PD was identified through the hospital admission electronic health records and death register. RESULTS: Among 314 998 participants (mean age, 56.1 years; 49.1% male), 1916 new-onset PD cases were documented. Compared with nonfrailty, the hazard ratio (HR) of incident PD in prefrailty and frailty was 1.26 (95% CI, 1.15-1.39) and 1.87 (95% CI, 1.53-2.28), respectively, and the absolute rate difference per 100 000 person-years was 1.6 (95% CI, 1.0-2.3) for prefrailty and 5.1 (95% CI, 2.9-7.3) for frailty. Exhaustion (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.22-1.62), slow gait speed (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.13-1.54), low grip strength (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.13-1.43), and low physical activity (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.00-1.25) were associated with incident PD. A significant interaction between frailty and PRS on PD was found and the highest hazard was observed in participants with frailty and high genetic risk. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Physical prefrailty and frailty were associated with incident PD independent of sociodemographic factors, lifestyles, multiple morbidities, and genetic background. These findings may have implications for the assessment and management of frailty for PD prevention.