Prognostic and safety analysis of capecitabine monotherapy versus CapeOx (capecitabine plus oxaliplatin) in elderly patients with high-risk stage II and stage III MRD-negative colorectal cancer

卡培他滨单药治疗与卡培他滨联合奥沙利铂(CapeOx)治疗老年高危II期和III期微小残留病灶阴性结直肠癌患者的预后和安全性分析

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy is a cornerstone of treatment for high-risk stage II and stage III colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the optimal regimen for elderly minimal residual disease (MRD)-negative patients remains controversial. This study aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of capecitabine monotherapy versus the CapeOx regimen (capecitabine plus oxaliplatin) in this population. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 117 elderly patients (aged 65-85 years) with high-risk stage II and stage III CRC who underwent curative surgery and tested MRD-negative. Patients were divided into two groups based on postoperative chemotherapy: capecitabine monotherapy (n=58) and CapeOx (n=59). Baseline characteristics, disease-free survival (DFS), 3-year DFS rates, and adverse events were compared. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance baseline differences, and Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to assess survival outcomes. RESULTS: The median DFS was 31 months in the capecitabine group and 40 months in the CapeOx group (P=0.26). The 3-year DFS rates were comparable (90% vs. 81%, P=0.26). After PSM, the survival outcomes remained similar between the two groups (P=0.73). However, the CapeOx group exhibited significantly higher rates of neurotoxicity (61% vs. 7%, P<0.001), leukopenia (49% vs. 22%, P=0.002), and thrombocytopenia (44% vs. 10%, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Capecitabine monotherapy might provide comparable DFS to CapeOx in elderly MRD-negative CRC patients, with better safety profile. MRD status might guide personalized dose-reduction strategies for elderly patients with high-risk stage II and stage III CRC.

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