Abstract
BACKGROUND: The prevalence of myopia among Chinese children and adolescents has increased sharply over recent decades, raising concern about modifiable environmental risk factors. Although outdoor activity is widely recognised as protective, the quantitative exposure-response relationship within the Chinese educational context remains incompletely defined. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted following PRISMA guidelines. Studies examining the association between daily outdoor activity time and myopia risk among Chinese youth were identified from major English and Chinese databases (Web of Science, PubMed, CNKI, and Wanfang) through October 2025. Random-effects meta-analysis was conducted to pool odds ratios (ORs). Prespecified subgroup and sensitivity analyses examined exposure thresholds, study design, and geographic latitude. RESULTS: We included 31 studies comprising 380 215 participants. Greater outdoor activity was consistently associated with lower myopia risk (pooled OR = 0.75; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.71-0.80), although substantial heterogeneity was observed (I(2) = 94%). Compared with <1 hour per day, outdoor exposure of 1-2 hours (OR = 0.85; 95% CI = 0.79-0.92), 2-3 hours (OR = 0.86; 95% CI = 0.78-0.95), and > 3 hours (OR = 0.74; 95% CI = 0.63-0.87) was associated with reduced risk. When dichotomised at two hours, exposure >2 hours yielded an OR of 0.74 (95% CI = 0.69-0.80). Findings were directionally consistent across study designs and latitude strata. CONCLUSIONS: Greater outdoor activity time is associated with lower myopia risk among Chinese children and adolescents. An approximate daily exposure of around two hours appears to represent a pragmatic benchmark under current educational conditions.