Abstract
BACKGROUND: In this study, we aimed to identify bone mineral density (BMD) trajectories of hospitalised patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and to determine the prognostic role of the trajectory groups. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of hospitalised patients with COVID-19 treated in our hospital from November 2022 to February 2023. BMD was manually measured from the thoracic 12 (T12) and lumbar one (L1) vertebra using chest computed tomography images. We constructed group trajectory models using group-based trajectory modelling. We performed the logistic regression analysis to associate the BMD trajectory pattern with clinical outcomes. RESULTS: This study included 1767 patients. The mean follow-up time after discharge was 181.5 days (standard deviation (SD) = 9.7). There were 1137 (64.3%) male patients, and more than 80% of patients were aged >60 years. We successfully identified three latent BMD trajectories to reveal the dynamic effects of COVID-19 infection on bone health in patients, namely, the early low-normal decline group, the average, and the early high-rapid decline group. All groups demonstrated consistent overall declining trends. A significant association was observed between BMD trajectory pattern (T12 or L1) and baseline characteristics of sex, age, and penetrating keratoplasty (P < 0.05). Our study showed that the BMD trajectories were significantly associated with mortality. Furthermore, we found that these trajectories were also associated with the length of hospital stay. CONCLUSIONS: This study provided evidence for the COVID-19 process to bone health, as well as evidence on strengthening bone health management before and after COVID-19 infection. BMD trajectories may help manage bone health and guide treatment in patients with COVID-19.