Development and identification of a prognostic nomogram model for patients with mixed cell adenocarcinoma of the ovary

卵巢混合细胞腺癌患者预后列线图模型的建立与鉴定

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Mixed cell ovarian adenocarcinoma (MCOA) is a malignant gynecologic tumor consisting of serous, mucous, and papillary tumor cells. However, the clinical features and prognosis of MCOA patients are unclear. METHODS: In this study, univariate and multivariate Cox proportional risk models were performed to identify independent prognostic factors. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to assess the relationship between clinical characteristics and patient survival. Finally, a nomogram was constructed and validated to predict patient survival time, and the C-index was used to evaluate the efficacy of the nomogram. RESULTS: A total of 2,818 patients diagnosed with MCOA were identified, and the 5-year survival rate was 62%. Univariate and multivariate Cox models suggested that age (HR=1.28, 95% CI[1.15,1.44]), grade (HR=1.26, 95% CI[1.12,1.41]), SEER stage (HR=1.63, 95% CI[1.25,2.13]) and AJCC (American Joint Committee on Cancer) stage (HR=1.59, 95% CI[1.36,1.86]) were independent prognostic factors for MCOA patients. After propensity score matching for age, grade, SEER stage, and AJCC stage, the 5-year survival rate was 69.7% for ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma and 62.9% for ovarian papillary serous cystadenocarcinoma. These results mean that serous adenocarcinoma had the best prognosis of the three pathologic types of ovarian carcinoma (p<0.0001), with no significant difference between papillary serous cystadenocarcinoma and MCOA (p=0.712). Finally, a nomogram consisting of age, grade, SEER stage, and AJCC stage was established and validated to predict the survival time, with C-indices of 0.743 and 0.731, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, MCOA is uncommon, and age, grade, SEER stage, and AJCC stage are independent prognostic factors. Compared with other common malignant ovarian tumors, MCOA has a poor prognosis.

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