Abstract
The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy and inter-observer agreement of a quantitative pulmonary surface irregularity (PSI) score on high-resolution chest CT (HRCT) for predicting transplant-free survival in patients with IPF. For this IRB-approved HIPAA-compliant retrospective single-center study, adult patients with IPF and HRCT imaging (N = 50) and an age- and gender-matched negative control group with normal HRCT imaging (N = 50) were identified. Four independent readers measured the PSI score in the midlungs on HRCT images using dedicated software while blinded to clinical data. A t-test was used to compare the PSI scores between negative control and IPF cohorts. In the IPF cohort, multivariate cox regression analysis was used to associate PSI score and clinical parameters with transplant-free survival. Inter-observer agreement for the PSI score was assessed by intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). The technical failure rate of the midlung PSI score was 0% (0/100). The mean PSI score of 5.38 in the IPF cohort was significantly higher than 3.14 in the negative control cohort (p < .001). In the IPF cohort, patients with a high PSI score (≥ median) were 8 times more likely to die than patients with a low PSI score (HR: 8.36; 95%CI: 2.91-24.03; p < .001). In a multivariate model including age, gender, FVC, DLCO, and PSI score, only the PSI score was associated with transplant-free survival (HR:2.11 per unit increase; 95%CI: 0.26-3.51; p = .004). Inter-observer agreement for the PSI score among 4 readers was good (ICC: 0.88; 95%CI: 0.84-0.91). The PSI score had high accuracy and good inter-observer agreement on HRCT for predicting transplant-free survival in patients with IPF.