Abstract
BACKGROUND: In the advanced urothelial carcinoma (aUC) scenario there are no consistent immune checkpoint blockade predictive biomarkers. Recently a novel pan-tumor molecular tissue-based biomarker, the Immunotherapy Response Score (IRS), has been proposed. We conducted a retrospective study to validate the prognostic/predictive utility of the IRS in patients with aUC under atezolizumab monotherapy and to characterize its underlying molecular/immune features in the context of the IMvigor210 phase II trial. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This is a post hoc pooled analysis of 261 patients with available clinical, molecular, and immune tumor data treated with atezolizumab monotherapy in the IMvigor210 phase II clinical trial. Efficacy endpoints were overall survival (OS), disease control rate (DCR), and overall response rate (ORR). Survival estimates were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and groups were compared with the log-rank test. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to evaluate factors independently associated with OS. Factors associated with disease control (DC) and response were tested with logistic regression in univariable and multivariable analyses. Comparisons between patient and disease characteristics were carried out using chi-square or Fisher's exact tests. All P values were two-sided, and those <0.05 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: High IRS was significantly associated with a better OS in univariable [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.49, P < 0.001] and multivariable (HR = 0.60, P = 0.018) analyses. DCR and ORR were significantly higher among high IRS patients (DCR for high IRS versus low IRS patients: 57% versus 32%, P < 0.001; ORR: 42% versus 10%, P < 0.001). High IRS patients presented a higher probability of DC and response in univariable [DC: odds ratio (OR) = 2.72, P < 0.001; response: OR = 3.92, P < 0.001] and multivariable (DC: OR = 2.72, P < 0.001; response: OR = 3.92, P < 0.001) analyses. CONCLUSIONS: This study validates IRS as a strong independent prognostic and predictive biomarker for OS and DC/response in patients with aUC treated with atezolizumab monotherapy in the IMvigor210 phase II clinical trial.