Abstract
BACKGROUND: The relationship between metformin use and prostate cancer (PCa) risk has yet to be clear despite more than a decade of debate on this topic. Hence, we aimed to investigate the causal role of metformin in reducing PCa risk through an up-to-date comprehensive genome-wide analysis. METHODS: We employed validated instrument variables of metformin use derived from a prior high-quality study, including five potential targets (AMPK, GCG, GDF15, MCI and MG3). Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed to harmonize genetically predicted metformin use and PCa phenotypes. PCa phenotypes were from two large genome-wide association studies (GWAS), the Prostate Cancer Association Group to Investigate Cancer-Associated Alterations in the Genome (PRACTICAL) and the FinnGen cohort. Seven methods were applied to generate MR results: the inverse variance weighted (IVW), IVW with multiplicative random effects, MR-Egger, MR-Egger (bootstrap), weighted median, simple mode and weighted mode. Strict sensitivity analysis was conducted to satisfy core assumptions of MR design. RESULTS: We enrolled 32 significant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that involved with metformin use. Nearly all targets yielded insignificant primary results (IVW with multiplicative random effects), except that AMPK target posed a positive effect on PCa risk from FinnGen cohort [odds ratio (OR): 6.09, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10-33.53, P value: 0.038]. The general effect of metformin use, comprising all 5 targets, also yielded negative results (random-effect meta-analysis with OR: 1.09, 95% CI: 0.76-1.58, P value: 0.637 for PRACTICAL; OR: 2.55, 95% CI: 0.58-11.16, P value: 0.215 for FinnGen). None of the sensitivity analyses provided support for a causal association between metformin use and PCa risk. CONCLUSION: This up-to-date study did not support the protective role of metformin in reducing PCa risk, considering each target, overall effect, and sensitivity analysis. It is imperative to reflect on the presumed "almighty medicine" and ongoing phase III trials are anticipated to assess the anti-neoplasm effect of metformin.