Comparative Cost-Effectiveness of Two Artificial Liver Therapies in Early-Stage Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: A Retrospective Cohort Study

两种人工肝疗法治疗早期乙型肝炎病毒相关急性加重型慢性肝衰竭的成本效益比较:一项回顾性队列研究

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Abstract

PURPOSE: This study aimed to compare the cost-effectiveness of the double plasma molecular adsorption system sequential low-volume plasma exchange (DPMAS+LPE) versus conventional plasma exchange (PE) in treating early-stage hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 215 early-stage HBV-ACLF patients were assigned to either DPMAS+LPE or conventional PE groups. After propensity score matching (1:1), 101 matched pairs were analyzed. We compared 30- and 90-day survival rates and direct medical costs from the healthcare payer's perspective. Cost-effectiveness analysis was performed with a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $12,681 and $38,043, equivalent to 1 and 3 times China's 2023 per capita GDP. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (Bootstrap method) were used to assess parameter uncertainty. RESULTS: Over the 90-day follow-up period, the DPMAS+LPE group had numerically higher survival rates compared to the PE group, but this difference was not statistically significant (91.04% vs 83.07%, Logrank: P=0.094). Compared to PE, DPMAS+LPE showed no economic benefit at 30 days. At 90 days, each 1% increase in the survival rate with DPMAS+LPE required an additional $3013.68 in medical costs, demonstrating cost-effectiveness. In the cirrhosis subgroup, the 90-day average total medical cost of the DPMAS+LPE group was lower than that of the PE group. At a WTP threshold of $12,681, the probability of DPMAS+LPE being cost-effective was 14% at 30 days and 75% at 90 days. At a WTP of $38,043, these probabilities increased to 45% and 90%, respectively. Univariate sensitivity analysis demonstrated that variations in the 90-day survival rates and costs for both groups still favored DPMAS+LPE within the 95% confidence interval. However, when the number of DPMAS+LPE treatments exceeded 4.4, it was no longer cost-effective. CONCLUSION: Compared to PE, DPMAS+LPE demonstrated cost-effectiveness at 90 days in early-stage HBV-ACLF patients, particularly those with cirrhosis. While DPMAS+LPE can be considered a suitable artificial liver therapy option for early-stage HBV-ACLF, careful consideration must be given to the number of treatments to ensure cost-effectiveness.

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