Liver transplantation and waitlist mortality for HCC and non-HCC candidates following the 2015 HCC exception policy change

2015年肝细胞癌例外政策变更后,肝细胞癌患者和非肝细胞癌患者的肝移植等待名单死亡率

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Abstract

Historically, exception points for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) led to higher transplant rates and lower waitlist mortality for HCC candidates compared to non-HCC candidates. As of October 2015, HCC candidates must wait 6 months after initial application to obtain exception points; the impact of this policy remains unstudied. Using 2013-2017 SRTR data, we identified 39  350 adult, first-time, active waitlist candidates and compared deceased donor liver transplant (DDLT) rates and waitlist mortality/dropout for HCC versus non-HCC candidates before (October 8, 2013-October 7, 2015, prepolicy) and after (October 8, 2015-October 7, 2017, postpolicy) the policy change using Cox and competing risks regression, respectively. Compared to non-HCC candidates with the same calculated MELD, HCC candidates had a 3.6-fold higher rate of DDLT prepolicy (aHR = (3.49) 3.69 (3.89) ) and a 2.2-fold higher rate of DDLT postpolicy (aHR = (2.09) 2.21 (2.34) ). Compared to non-HCC candidates with the same allocation priority, HCC candidates had a 37% lower risk of waitlist mortality/dropout prepolicy (asHR = (0.54) 0.63 (0.73) ) and a comparable risk of mortality/dropout postpolicy (asHR = (0.81) 0.95 (1.11) ). Following the policy change, the DDLT advantage for HCC candidates remained, albeit dramatically attenuated, without any substantial increase in waitlist mortality/dropout. In the context of sickest-first liver allocation, the revised policy seems to have established allocation equity for HCC and non-HCC candidates.

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