Abstract
AIMS: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a health challenge in China, and the economic outcomes of lifestyle intervention are critically important for policymakers. This study estimates the lifetime economic outcomes of lifestyle intervention among the prediabetic population in the Chinese context. METHODS: We developed a mathematical model to compare the cost-effectiveness of lifestyle intervention and no prevention in the prediabetic population. Efficacy and safety, medical expenditure, and utility data were derived from the literature, which was assigned to model variables for estimating the quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and costs as well as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). The analysis was conducted from the perspective of Chinese healthcare service providers. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Compared with no prevention, lifestyle intervention averted 9.53% of T2DM, which translated into an additional 0.52 QALYs at a saved cost of $700 by substantially reducing the probabilities of macro- and microvascular diseases. This finding indicated that lifestyle intervention was a dominant strategy. The sensitivity analyses showed the model outputs were robust. CONCLUSIONS: Lifestyle intervention is a very cost-effective alternative for prediabetic subjects and worth implementing in the Chinese healthcare system to reduce the disease burden related to T2DM.