Abstract
Objective: This study aims to propose a personalized cancer prediction model based on the metabolic-inflammatory-nutritional score (MINS) for predicting lymph node metastasis (LNM) in endometrial cancer (EC) and validated prediction of survival probability in patients with a family history of Lynch syndrome-associated cancers (LSAC). Methods: A total of 676 patients diagnosed with EC were enrolled in this study. We calculated the optimal cutoff value using restricted cubic splines (RCS) analysis or the mean value. Our feature selection process for constructing the MINS involved using the LASSO regression model. MINS were evaluated for LNM using logistic regression analysis. To assess the prognostic value of the MINS, we generated survival curves using the Kaplan-Meier method with a log-rank test. Furthermore, we constructed a nomogram to validate the prognostic significance of the MINS. The predictive accuracy of nomogram was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index) and calibration plot. Results: LNM risk was associated with family history of LSAC and MINS group (all adjusted p<0.05). Patients in the high-risk MINS group or patients with a family history of LSAC exhibited poorer overall survival (p=0.038, p=0.001, respectively). Additionally, a nomogram was demonstrated effective predictive performance with a C-index of 0.778 (95% CI: 0.725-0.832). Conclusion: Preoperative MINS has been determined to be associated with the risk of LNM in EC patients. Utilizing MINS as a basis, the development of a prognostic nomogram holds promise as an effective tool for risk stratification in clinical settings among EC patients with a family history of LSAC.