Percentile-based slope-constrained linear interpolation for robust imputation of highly volatile PM2.5 time series

基于百分位数的斜率约束线性插值法,用于稳健地插补高波动性 PM2.5 时间序列

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Abstract

Reliable reconstruction of missing observations is essential for environmental time-series analysis, particularly for highly volatile air-quality indicators such as PM2.5. Although linear interpolation is widely used for short-gap imputation due to its simplicity and computational efficiency, it does not explicitly regulate slope dynamics and may produce physically implausible transitions in rapidly fluctuating data. This study proposes a percentile-based slope-constrained linear interpolation method that estimates a slope threshold from the empirical distribution of historical first-order differences and applies a sequential constraint during interpolation to prevent unrealistic gradient changes. The approach requires only a single data-driven parameter and maintains linear computational complexity.•Data-driven slope threshold estimated from the percentile distribution of historical first-order differences.•Sequential slope constraint applied to prevent unrealistic gradient transitions during interpolation.•Linear-time method that preserves the simplicity of standard interpolation while improving reconstruction accuracy.

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