Frailty Could Predict Death in Older Adults after Admissionat Emergency Department? A 6-month Prospective Study from a Middle-Income Country

老年患者入院急诊后,体弱多病能否预测其死亡?一项来自中等收入国家的6个月前瞻性研究

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: The number of older adults attending emergency department (ED) is increasing all over the world. Usually, those patients are potentially more complex due to their greater number of comorbidities, cognitive disorders, and functional or physical disabilities. Frailty is a vulnerable state that could predict adverse outcomes of those patients. There are very few studies that addressed this topic in the ED, and none of them used a simple instrument for frailty assessment. OBJECTIVES: The primary outcome was to evaluate the association between frailty identified through the FRAIL questionnaire at baseline and death after a 6-month follow-up period after hospital discharge from the ED. Secondary outcomes were readmission to the ED and disability after 6 months. METHODS: A 6-month follow-up prospective study (FASES study) was conducted at a university-based trauma-center ED in Jundiaí, southwestern of Brazil. A total of 316 older adults aged 60 or older were randomly included based on a lottery of their medical record admission number. Frailty was evaluated through the FRAIL questionnaire. The association between frailty and death was estimated through a binary logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, and cognitive performance. RESULTS: From the total sample, the mean age was 72.11±8.0 years, and 51.6% were women. Participants presented 2.28±1.4 comorbidities and 25.6% were frail. Mean hospital stay was 5.43±5.6 days. Death occurred in 52 participants, readmission to the emergency in 55, and new disability in 16 after 6 months. Frailty was associated with an odds ratio of 2.18 for death after 6 months (95% CI = 1.10-4.31; p = 0.024). This association lost significance after multivariate analysis taking into account cognitive performance. There was no association between frailty status at baseline and readmission to the ED or disability. CONCLUSION: The identification of frailty using the FRAIL at admission was not predictive of death after a 6-month period after discharge from the ED. Simple frailty assessment could identify patients at higher risk for death in the follow-up.

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