Abstract
AIMS: This study aimed to evaluate the clinical parameters including late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) of cardiovascular magnetic resonance to predict re-worsening of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 138 patients with recent-onset DCM who had an LVEF <45% and underwent LGE of cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging at diagnosis and echocardiography at the yearly follow-up [median 6 (4-8.3) years]. Initial LVEF recovery was defined as LVEF increase >10% from baseline, resulting in LVEF ≧45% after treatment. The patients were divided into three groups: (i) improved (n = 83, 60%), defined as those with sustained LVEF ≧45%; (ii) re-worsening (n = 39, 28%), those with >5% decrease and LVEF <45% after the initial LVEF recovery; and (iii) not-improved (n = 16, 12%), those without initial LVEF recovery. The primary endpoint was a composite of hospitalization for heart failure or sudden cardiac death. In baseline, LGE was observed in 70 patients. The LGE area was significantly larger in the re-worsening and not-improved groups than that in the improved group (P < 0.001). Loess curves of long-term LVEF trajectories showed that LVEF in the re-worsening group increased in the first 2 years and slowly declined thereafter. Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that LGE area [odds ratio (OR) 1.09, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.16, P = 0.004], B-type natriuretic peptide (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.05-2.21, P = 0.030) level at the initial recovery, and LVEF (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.86-0.97, P = 0.004) at the initial LVEF recovery were independent predictors of re-worsening of LVEF. During a median follow-up of 2273 (interquartile range: 1634-3191) days, the primary endpoint was observed in 31 (22%) patients. Univariate Cox proportional hazards analysis demonstrated that the risk of experiencing the primary event in the re-worsening group was significantly higher (hazard ratio: 4.30, 95% CI 1.63-11.31, P = 0.003) than that in the improved group and was lower than that in the not-improved group (hazard ratio: 0.33, 95% CI 0.15-0.72, P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Re-worsening of LVEF was observed in 28% of patients with recent-onset DCM who showed an initial improvement in LVEF. High LGE burden, higher B-type natriuretic peptide level, and lower LVEF at the initial LVEF recovery were independent predictors of re-worsening of LVEF in patients with DCM. Careful observation is recommended for patients with a high risk for re-worsening of LVEF, even in those with an initial LVEF recovery.