Prognostic value of immunoinflammatory indicators and tumor markers for first-line chemotherapy in patients with non-small cell lung cancer

免疫炎症指标和肿瘤标志物对非小细胞肺癌患者一线化疗的预后价值

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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prognostic significance of immunoinflammatory indicators and tumor markers in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) undergoing first-line chemotherapy. METHODS: This retrospective study included 306 NSCLC patients treated with first-line chemotherapy between January 2022 and January 2023. Clinical data, including demographic information, clinicopathological features, immunoinflammatory markers, and tumor markers, were collected. Survival was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves and compared with the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify factors associated with overall survival (OS). Logistic regression was applied to predict 2-year mortality risk, and model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves, area under the curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: By the end of follow-up, 183 patients had died (mortality rate: 59.80%). Univariate analysis showed that high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), high platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), low lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), and elevated levels of CEA, CA125, and CYFRA 21-1 were significantly associated with worse prognosis (all P<0.001). Multivariate analysis identified high PLR (HR=1.94, P=0.041) and high CEA (HR=2.13, P=0.002) as independent risk factors, while high LMR (HR=0.52, P=0.043) was protective. A logistic model combining CEA, PLR, and LMR showed high predictive accuracy for 2-year mortality (AUC=0.926). CONCLUSION: Combined assessment of immunoinflammatory and tumor markers improves prognostic accuracy in NSCLC patients receiving first-line chemotherapy and may guide individualized treatment strategies.

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