Abstract
Accumulating evidence suggests that estrogens play an important modulatory role in the pathogenesis of psychosis. Estrogens come online within a dynamic developmental context of emerging psychopathology and neurodevelopment. As a result, estradiol (the primary form of estrogen) may influence psychosis lability directly or indirectly through its neurodevelopmental influence on estrogens-sensitive areas like the hippocampus. Understanding this influence may provide novel insight into mechanisms of psychosis lability. This study included baseline and year 2 timepoints from 4422 female participants from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) study (age 8-13), who varied in estradiol availability (pre-menarche, post-menarche, pre- and post-menarche timepoints). Estradiol availability was related to psychotic-like experiences (PLE) severity both directly and as an interactive effect with hippocampal connectivity using menarche status (pre/post) in a multilevel model. PLE severity was highest in individuals with early menarche emphasizing the importance of the developmental timing. Although PLE severity decreased over time in the sample, it stayed clinically-relevant over 2 years. Lower hippocampal connectivity was related to elevated PLE severity. This effect was moderated by estradiol; before the availability of estradiol (pre-menarche), lower hippocampal connectivity significantly contributed to the PLE severity, but when estradiol was available (post-menarche) hippocampal dysconnectivity did not account for PLE severity. This moderation suggests that the estrodiol's influence on hippocampal plasticity also reduced the mechanistic role of the hippocampus on PLE severity. Further, the lack of a significant direct reduction of PLE severity post-menarche, may suggest an increased role for other interacting psychosis lability factors during this critical developmental period.