Abstract
AIMS: Although various non-invasive cardiac examinations are known to be predictive of long-term outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF), combining them properly would provide synergism. We aimed to show that non-invasive cardiac assessments targeting left ventricular filling pressure (LVFP), left atrial remodelling, and exercise capacity would provide better prognostication in combination. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospective observational study included consecutive hospitalized stage A-C HF patients evaluated with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), echocardiography including two-dimensional speckle tracking, and cardiopulmonary exercise testing. According to NT-proBNP and echocardiographic semi-quantitative LVFP grading (Echo-LVFP), patients were classified into three LVFP groups: normal range of both Echo-LVFP and NT-proBNP (Group 1), normal range of Echo-LVFP but elevated NT-proBNP (Group 2), and elevated Echo-LVFP and NT-proBNP (Group 3). The adverse outcome was defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal acute coronary syndrome, acute stroke, or HF-related hospitalization. Among 224 HF patients (mean age of 63.8 ± 11.6 years, 158 men) analysed, 160 (71.4%) had ischaemic aetiology. During the follow-up of 18.6 ± 9.8 months, event-free survival in Group 2 (n = 56, age of 65.4 ± 12.4) was better than that in Group 3 (n = 45, age of 68.5 ± 11.5) but worse than that in Group 1 (n = 123, mean age of 61.4 ± 10.5) (log-rank P < 0.001). Mechanical left atrial dysfunction (peak longitudinal strain <28%) (adjusted hazard ratio 5.69, 95% confidence interval 1.06-4.48) and limited exercise capacity (peak VO(2) per +5 mL/kg/min) (adjusted hazard ratio 0.63, 95% confidence interval 0.46-0.87) were also predictable adverse outcomes. Serial addition of peak VO(2) and left atrial strain to the model incrementally enhanced the predictive power of LVFP-based risk stratification for adverse outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of NT-proBNP and Echo-LVFP could be used to predict adverse outcomes in patients with HF of various stages. Left atrial mechanics and exercise capacity are incremental to prognostication. Non-invasive test findings could be strategically combined to provide an integrative profile of cardiac performance.