Abstract
Despite recently reported associations between air pollution and acute psychiatric outcomes, the association with depression onset has not, to our knowledge, been previously examined. We conducted a prospective cohort study among 41,844 women in the Nurses' Health Study, in the United States. The women had an average age of 66.6 (standard deviation, 7.6) years, were depression-free in 1996, and were followed through 2008. May-September ozone exposures were predicted by interpolating concentrations from the 5 nearest monitors. One-, 2-, and 5-year average concentrations of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 2.5 μm (PM2.5) were predicted at each participant's residence using a spatiotemporal model. We defined depression as report of doctor's diagnosis or use of antidepressant medication. We estimated adjusted hazard ratios with time-varying Cox models. Hazard ratios for both pollutants were elevated (per 10-parts-per-billion increase in ozone, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.06; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.00, 1.12; per 10-μg/m3 increase in 1-year PM2.5, HR = 1.08; 95% CI: 0.97, 1.20). Associations were stronger when only antidepressant use was used to define cases (for ozone, HR = 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02, 1.14; for PM2.5, HR = 1.12; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.25). To our knowledge, these results represent the first identification of a possible association between both long-term ozone and PM2.5 exposure and depression onset. Although the stronger association specifically with antidepressant use may reflect that this endpoint better captures the onset time and milder cases, our findings should be interpreted with caution.