Abstract
Objective: This study aimed to describe the risk stratification of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and its precursor lesions based on HPV E6/E7 mRNA genotyping. Methods: 10647 hrHPV+ women (mean age 40.8 years), who had concurrent cytology and follow-up biopsy results available between September 2016 and May 2020, met the inclusion criteria and were selected for immediate risk analysis. Results: In this cohort, HPV-16 or 18/45+ women had significantly higher immediate risk of cervical cancer and precancer compared with other genotypes+ women. The relative immediate risk (RIR) of ASC-H+ was 2.0 (95% CI: 1.9-2.4) and SCC was 9.4 (95% CI: 5.5-15.6) for HPV-16 or 18/45+ women when compared with women positive for other 11 genotypes. Among follow-up biopsy cases, the RIR of CIN2+ was 2.7 (95% CI: 3.0-3.7) and SCC was 10.8 (95% CI: 7.2-17.4) for HPV-16 or 18/45+ women than women positive for other genotypes. Similarly, when compared with women positive for other genotypes, the RIR of CIN2+ was 2.9 (95% CI: 2.7-4.6) and SCC was 13.8 (95% CI: 3.0-66.2) for HPV-16 or 18/45+ women with ASC-US, and RIR of CIN2+ was 3.3 (95% CI: 3.1-4.6) and SCC was 22.3 (95% CI: 2.8-176.8) for HPV-16 or 18/45+ women with NILM. Conclusions: This study supports that hrHPV mRNA genotyping can be an effective risk stratification tool to identify individual at higher risk for cervical cancer or precancer, and provides important evidences for the future modifications for current China cervical cancer screening guidelines.