Abstract
Objectives: The current Chinese draft nodal clinical staging system for unresectable esophageal cancer is controversial. Our study aimed to propose a new diagnostic criterion for lymph node metastasis (LNM) detected by multislice spiral computed tomography (MSCT) in nonsurgically treated esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients and then develop a novel lymph node (LN) clinical staging system for better individual prognostic prediction. Methods: The short-axis diameters of regional LNs were measured in 393 nonsurgical patients. Regional nodes were considered positive for malignancy if the nodal size exceeded the optimal size, which was determined by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. The novel LN clinical staging system was then constructed using the LASSO model based on the relative prognostic importance of different LN stations. Validation cohort was included to confirm the prognostic performance. Results: Regional nodes were considered positive for malignancy if they were larger than 10 mm in the low cervical and upper thoracic segments, 7 mm in the middle thoracic segment, and 8 mm in the lower thoracic and celiac segments. Using the LASSO model, stations 2R, 3A, 7 and 16 were qualified in the model. Further analysis showed that our LN clinical staging system had better homogeneity, discriminatory ability and clinical value than the draft nodal staging system. Conclusions: Our results show that the new diagnostic criterion may improve the diagnostic value of MSCT in metastatic LNs. The novel LN clinical staging system can stratify nonsurgically treated ESCC patients into different risk groups, providing valuable information for decision making and outcome prediction.