Abstract
Colon adenomas with proliferating mutant cells may progress to invasive carcinomas. Proliferation of cells in human colorectal tissue is circadian, greater in the interval 4 to 12 hours after midnight than 16 to 24 hours after midnight. We have tested the hypothesis that chemotherapy administered during the time of greater cell proliferation will be more effective than chemotherapy administered during the time of lesser proliferation. An agent-based computer model of cell proliferation in colon crypts was calibrated with measurements of cell numbers in human biopsy specimens. It was used to simulate cytotoxic chemotherapy of an early stage of colon cancer, adenomas with about 20% of mutant cells. Chemotherapy doses were scheduled at different 4-hour intervals during the 24-hour day, and repeated at weekly intervals. Chemotherapy administered at 4 to 8 hours after midnight cured mutant cells in 100% of 50 trials with an average time to cure of 7.82 days (s.e.m. = 0.99). In contrast, chemotherapy administered at 20 to 24 hours after midnight cured only 18% of 50 trials, with the average time to cure of 23.51 days (s.e.m. = 2.42). These simulation results suggest that clinical chemotherapy of early colon cancer may be more effective when given in the morning than later in the day.