Risk factors for malaria-related mortality among children under five at Mbale Regional Referral Hospital, Uganda, 2020-2024: A case-control study

2020-2024年乌干达姆巴莱地区转诊医院五岁以下儿童疟疾相关死亡的危险因素:一项病例对照研究

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Abstract

Malaria remains a major global health burden, with 264 million cases and 569,000 deaths in 2023. Uganda ranks third globally in malaria cases and tenth in deaths, with 95% of the country endemic and children under five most vulnerable. Despite control efforts, Mbale Regional Referral Hospital (MRRH) in Eastern Uganda reported a pediatric malaria case fatality rate of 2.7% between 2020 and 2024. This study aimed to identify factors associated with malaria-related deaths among children under five admitted to the hospital during this period. We conducted an unmatched 1:2 case-control study using retrospective data from 2020-2024. Cases were children ≤59 months with WHO-defined severe Plasmodium falciparum malaria who died during hospitalization (n = 100). Controls were similar children who recovered (n = 200), systematically sampled from about 32,400 admissions. Data were extracted from patient records, and multivariable logistic regression identified mortality predictors. Among 100 cases, 73% were aged <24 months and 61% were male. Convulsions (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=17; 95%CI:4.2-71), loss of consciousness (aOR=14; 95%CI: 1.4-113), severe anemia (aOR=3.4; 95%CI:1.4-8.2), vomiting (aOR=3.1; 95%CI: 1.4-6.9), and delays in seeking care > 24 hours after symptom onset (aOR=8.8; 95%CI: 2.3-34) were significantly associated with mortality.Malaria deaths among under-five children was significantly associated with severe clinical features,convulsions, loss of consciousness, and severe anemia and delayed care-seeking. Early recognition of danger signs, and prompt care-seeking could reduce paediatric malaria mortality in high-burden settings like Mbale.

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