High Fever, Wide Distribution of Viral Pneumonia, and Pleural Effusion are More Critical Findings at the First Visit in Predicting the Prognosis of COVID-19: A Single Center, retrospective, Propensity Score-Matched Case-Control Study

高热、病毒性肺炎广泛分布和胸腔积液是首次就诊时预测 COVID-19 预后的关键发现:一项单中心、回顾性、倾向评分匹配病例对照研究

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Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Currently, infection control measures for SARS-COV2 are being relaxed, and it is important in daily clinical practice to decide which findings to focus on when managing patients with similar background factors. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated 66 patients who underwent blood tests (complete blood count, blood chemistry tests, and coagulation tests) and thin slice CT between January 1 and May 31, 2020, and performed a propensity score-matched case-control study. Cases and controls were a severe respiratory failure group (non-rebreather mask, nasal high-flow, and positive-pressure ventilation) and a non-severe respiratory failure group, matched at a ratio of 1:3 by propensity scores constructed by age, sex, and medical history. We compared groups for maximum body temperature up to diagnosis, blood test findings, and CT findings in the matched cohort. Two-tailed P-values <0.05 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: Nine cases and 27 controls were included in the matched cohort. Significant differences were seen in maximum body temperature up to diagnosis (p=0.0043), the number of shaded lobes (p=0.0434), amount of ground-glass opacity (GGO) in the total lung field (p=0.0071), amounts of GGO (p=0.0001), and consolidation (p=0.0036) in the upper lung field, and pleural effusion (p=0.0117). CONCLUSION: High fever, the wide distribution of viral pneumonia, and pleural effusion may be prognostic indicators that can be easily measured at diagnosis in COVID-19 patients with similar backgrounds.

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