Abstract
BACKGROUND: We hypothesized that the blood urea nitrogen (BUN) to serum albumin ratio (BAR) could serve as an independent predictor for incident acute kidney injury (AKI) in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with rib fracture. METHODS: Rib fracture patients in ICU were extracted from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV v1.0) database. The primary outcome in this study was the incidence of AKI. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to determine the relationship between BAR and AKI and propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) were also applied to assure the robustness of our results. RESULTS: The optimal cut-off value for BAR was 5.26 based on receiver operator characteristic curve. Among the 953 patients who diagnosed with rib fracture, 197 high-BAR group (≥5.26) patients and 197 low-BAR group (<5.26) patients who had similar propensity scores were finally included in the matched cohort. High-BAR group patients had a significantly higher incidence of AKI (odds ratio, OR, 3.85, 95% confidence index, 95% CI, 2.58-5.79, P<0.001) in the original cohort, in the matched cohort (OR, 4.47, 95% CI 2.71-7.53, P<0.001), and in the weighted cohort (OR, 4.28, 95% CI 2.80-6.53, P<0.001). Furthermore, BAR was superior to that of acute physiology score III for predicting AKI and could add more net benefit for incident AKI in critical care patients with rib fracture. CONCLUSION: As an easily access and cost-effective parameter, BAR could serve as a good diagnostic predictor for AKI in ICU patients with rib fracture.