Effect of Cilostazol on Delayed Cerebral Infarction in Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Using Explainable Predictive Modeling

利用可解释预测模型研究西洛他唑对动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血后迟发性脑梗死的影响

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Abstract

The studies interpreting DCI, a complication of SAH, and identifying correlations are very limited. This study aimed to investigate the effect of cilostazol on ACV and DCI after coil embolization for ruptured aneurysms (n = 432). A multivariate analysis was performed and explainable artificial intelligence approaches were used to analyze the contribution of cilostazol as a risk factor on the development of ACV and DCI with respect to global and local interpretation. The cilonimo group was significantly lower than the nimo group in ACV (13.5% vs. 29.3; p = 0.003) and DCI (7.9% vs. 20.7%; p = 0.006), respectively. In a multivariate logistic regression, the odds ratio for DCI for the cilonimo group, female sex, and aneurysm size was 0.556 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.351-0.879; p = 0.012), 3.713 (95% CI, 1.683-8.191; p = 0.001), and 1.106 (95% CI, 1.008-1.214; p = 0.034). The risk of a DCI occurrence was significantly increased with an aneurysm size greater than 10 mm (max 80%). The mean AUC of the XGBoost and logistic regression models was 0.94 ± 0.03 and 0.95 ± 0.04, respectively. Cilostazol treatment combined with nimodipine could decrease the prevalence of ACV (13.5%) and DCI (7.9%) in patients with aSAH.

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