Abstract
AIM: This study aimed to differentiate moderate to high myopic astigmatism from forme fruste keratoconus using Pentacam parameters and develop a predictive model for early keratoconus detection. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 196 eyes from 105 patients and compared Pentacam variables between myopic astigmatism (156 eyes) and forme fruste keratoconus (40 eyes) groups. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to determine the optimal cut-off values, and a logistic regression model was used to refine the diagnostic accuracy. RESULTS: Statistically significant differences were observed in most Pentacam variables between the groups (p < 0.05). Parameters such as the Index of Surface Variance (ISV), Keratoconus Index (KI), Belin/Ambrosio Deviation Display (BAD_D) and Back Elevation of the Thinnest Corneal Locale (B.Ele.Th) demonstrated promising discriminatory abilities, with BAD_D exhibiting the highest Area under the Curve. The logistic regression model achieved high sensitivity (92.5%), specificity (96.8%), accuracy (95.9%), and positive predictive value (88.1%). CONCLUSION: The simultaneous evaluation of BAD_D, ISV, B.Ele.Th, and KI aids in identifying forme fruste keratoconus cases. Optimal cut-off points demonstrate acceptable sensitivity and specificity, emphasizing their clinical utility pending further refinement and validation across diverse demographics.