Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The DOSE index, which incorporates Dyspnea, Obstruction, Smoking, and Exacerbations, is a widely used tool for assessing the severity and prognosis of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD). In addition to risk assessment, it has potential clinical utility in predicting healthcare costs, which are primarily driven by exacerbations. While several indices, such as the BODE (Body-mass index, Obstruction, Dyspnea, Exercise) and ADO (Age, Dyspnea, Obstruction) indices, exist for risk prediction, there is a lack of dedicated tools for forecasting healthcare costs. This study explores the potential of the DOSE index compared to other indices, including BODE, ADO, and the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), for this purpose. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This cross-sectional retrospective study analyzed data from 396 COPD cases. We examined associations between the DOSE index, BODE index, ADO index, CCI, and healthcare costs, including hospitalizations and emergency room treatments. Healthcare costs were categorized as direct medical expenses. RESULTS: Significant associations were observed between the DOSE index and various healthcare parameters. DOSE quartiles showed strong correlations with outpatient visits (p = 0.013) and outpatient medical expenses (p = 0.011). In addition, hospitalization frequency, duration, and associated costs were significantly correlated with higher DOSE quartiles (p < 0.001). A significant difference was found when comparing DOSE quartiles between patients with high (CCI ≥ 3) and low (CCI < 3) comorbidity scores (p = 0.018). The DOSE index outperformed other indices, likely due to its inclusion of exacerbations, a key driver of healthcare costs. CONCLUSION: The DOSE index demonstrates potential in predicting healthcare costs, particularly due to its inclusion of exacerbation frequency. This study highlights the importance of considering exacerbations alongside traditional risk factors for more accurate cost forecasting in COPD management. Our findings suggest that the DOSE index may be a valuable tool in both clinical and economic assessments of COPD patients, though further research is warranted to validate these findings in larger datasets.