Growth differentiation factor-15 predicts poor survival after cardiac arrest

Early prognostication in post-cardiac arrest (CA) patients remains challenging and biomarkers have evolved as helpful tools in risk assessment. The stress-response cytokine growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is dramatically up-regulated during various kinds of tissue injury and predicts outcome in many pathological conditions. We aimed to assess the predictive value of circulating GDF-15 in post-CA patients.

GDF-15 predicts poor survival and neurological outcome in post-CA patients. GDF-15 may reflect the extent of hypoxic injury to the brain and other organs and might help to improve early risk stratification after CA.

This prospective observational study included 128 consecutive patients (median age 60.3 years, 75.8% male) with return of spontaneous circulation after in- or out-of-hospital CA who were treated at a tertiary university hospital. GDF-15 serum levels were determined at admission.

A total of 52 patients (40.6%) died during the 6-month follow-up. Median GDF-15 levels were significantly lower in survivors (1601 ng/L (interquartile range: 1114-2983 ng/L) than in non-survivors (3172 ng/L (1927-8340 ng/L); p < 0.001). GDF-15 levels were also significantly lower in patients with favourable neurological 6-month outcome (cerebral performance category (CPC) 1-2) than in those with poor neurological outcome (CPC 3-5; p < 0.001). GDF-15 significantly predicted 6-month mortality in univariate Cox regression analysis (hazard ratio (HR) per 1-standard deviation increase 1.76 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.35-2.31; p < 0.001] and remained significant after multivariable adjustment (HR 1.57 [95% CI 1.19-2.07; p = 0.001]). Subgroup analysis revealed that the association between GDF-15 and 6-month outcome was present both in patients with in- and out-of-hospital CA. Conclusions: GDF-15 predicts poor survival and neurological outcome in post-CA patients. GDF-15 may reflect the extent of hypoxic injury to the brain and other organs and might help to improve early risk stratification after CA.