The Construction of a Nomogram Using the Pan-Immune-Inflammation Value Combined with a PILE Score for Immunotherapy Prediction Prognosis in Advanced NSCLC

利用泛免疫炎症值结合PILE评分构建列线图,用于预测晚期非小细胞肺癌免疫治疗的预后

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Abstract

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to investigate the predictive value of Pan-Immune-Inflammation Value (PIV) combined with the PILE score for immunotherapy in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and to construct a nomogram prediction model to provide reference for clinical work. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with advanced NSCLC who received ICIs treatment in Qingdao Municipal Hospital from January 2019 to December 2021 were selected as the study subjects. The chi-square test, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and Cox proportional risk regression analysis were used to evaluate the prognosis. The results were visualized by a nomogram, and the performance of the model was judged by indicators such as the area under the subject operating characteristic curve (AUC) and C-index. The patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups by PILE score, and the prognosis of patients in different risk groups was evaluated. RESULTS: Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that immune-related adverse events (irAEs) were prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) improvement, and ECOG PS score ≥2, bone metastases before treatment, and high PIV expression were independent risk factors for OS. The C index of OS predicted by the nomogram model is 0.750 (95% CI: 0.677-0.823), and the Calibration and ROC curves show that the model has good prediction performance. Compared with the low-risk group, patients in the high-risk group of PILE were associated with a higher inflammatory state and poorer physical condition, which often resulted in a poorer prognosis. CONCLUSION: PIV can be used as a prognostic indicator for patients with advanced NSCLC treated with ICIs, and a nomogram prediction model can be constructed to evaluate the survival prediction of patients, thus contributing to better clinical decision-making and prognosis assessment.

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