Preoperative Prognostic Nutritional Index Predict Survival in Patients with Resectable Adenocarcinoma of the Gastroesophageal Junction: A Retrospective Study Based on Propensity Score Matching Analyses

术前预后营养指数预测可切除食管胃交界处腺癌患者的生存率:一项基于倾向评分匹配分析的回顾性研究

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the value of PNI to predicting relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with resectable gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma (AGE). METHODS: Between 2016 and 2020, there were 236 resectable AGE patients underwent a retrospective review via propensity score matched (PSM) analysis. The PNI values were computed for each patient prior to surgery [PNI= 10×albumin (gr/dL) + 0.005×total lymphocyte count (mm3)]. By using disease progression and mortality as the end points, a receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve was plotted to identify the PNI cut-off value. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard models were used for survival analysis. RESULTS: The ROC curve indicated that the ideal cutoff value was 45.60. After propensity score matching, there were 143 patients in our retrospective study, which included 58 patients in the low-PNI group and 85 patients in the high-PNI group. When compared to the low PNI group, the high PNI group substantially increased RFS and OS (p<0.001, p=0.003, respectively) according to the Kaplan-Meier analysis and Log rank test. Advanced pathological N stage (p=0.011) and poor PNI (p=0.004) were also significant risk factors for a shorter OS, according to a univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis revealed that the N0 plus N1 group had an endpoint mortality risk that was 0.39 times lower than the N2 plus N3 group's (p=0.008). In comparison to the high PNI group, the hazard of endpoint mortality was 2.442 times greater in the low PNI group (p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: PNI is a simplistic and practical predictive predictor of the RFS and OS time in patients with resectable AGE.

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