Abstract
BACKGROUND: To help with the clinical practice of renal cancer patients, prognostic models are urgently warranted. We hunted and identified prognostic variables associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) for renal cancer patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, 187 renal cancer patients who had received curative radical/partial nephrectomy between November 2011 and January 2017 were enrolled in the current study. These patients were randomly split into the training (n = 95) and validation sets (n = 92) by the ratio of 1:1. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to establish the nomogram, which was then evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analyses. RESULTS: Patient characteristics and outcomes were well balanced between the training and validation sets; the median RFS values were 54.1 months and 58.9 months for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The final nomogram included six independent prognostic variables (prothrombin time (%), prothrombin time (second), albumin/globulin ratio, platelets, sex and fibrinogen). The mean values of RFS for the low- and high-risk groups defined by a prognostic formula were 56.22 ± 18.50 months and 49.54 ± 23.57 months, respectively, in the training cohort and were 59.00 ± 19.50 months and 53.32 ± 19.95 months, respectively, in the validation cohort. The significance and stability of the model were tested by the time-dependent K-M model and ROC curves, respectively. CONCLUSION: Our validated prognostic model incorporates variables routinely collected from renal cancer patients, identifying subsets of patients with different survival outcomes, which provides useful information for patient care and clinical trial design.