Abstract
BACKGROUND: The ACEF score (age, creatinine, and left ventricular ejection fraction) and the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index have been identified as robust risk prediction models for adverse outcomes post-percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in coronary atherosclerotic heart disease (CHD) patients. This study aimed to assess whether incorporating the TyG index enhances the predictive ability of the ACEF score and enhances risk stratification for CHD patients undergoing PCI. METHODS: This observational cohort study enrolled 1248 patients diagnosed with CHD who underwent PCI at the Third People's Hospital of Chengdu, China, between May 2018 and December 2022. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were employed to establish the optimal cutoff values for the TyG index and ACEF score. The primary endpoint event was defined as major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs). Cumulative survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to identify predictors of MACCEs. The predictive ability of the ACEF score and the TyG index was assessed using the area under the ROC curve, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). RESULTS: Over a median follow-up period of 30.60 months, 214 patients experienced MACCEs. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated a significant association between elevated ACEF score (> 1.27) and TyG index levels (> 8.82) with a heightened incidence of MACCEs (HR = 2.018, 95%CI 1.593-2.789; HR = 2.057, 95%CI 1.572-2.691; Log-Rank test, both P < 0.001). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that even after adjusting for multiple confounders, both the ACEF score and TyG index remained as predictors of MACCEs (HR = 1.702, 95%CI 1.210-2.394, P = 0.002; HR = 1.575, 95%CI 1.296-1.916, P < 0.001). Additionally, the addition of the ACEF score and TyG index into the conventional risk model significantly improved the ability to predict MACCEs, as evidenced by the increase in the C-statistic value from 0.664 to 0.703, along with notable improvements in continuous NRI (0.391), categorical NRI (0.107), and IDI (0.033) (all P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The combination of the TyG index and the ACEF score enhances the predictive ability for long-term MACCEs in patients with CHD undergoing PCI.