Abstract
BACKGROUND: The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio, two simple surrogate indicators of insulin resistance, have been demonstrated to predict cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, very few studies have investigated their associations with CVD in European populations. METHODS: A total of 403,335 participants from the UK Biobank with data for TyG index and TG/HDL-C ratio and free from CVD at baseline were included. Cox models were applied to evaluate the association between TyG index and TG/HDL-C ratio and incident CVD. Mediation analyses were performed to evaluate the contribution of prevalent diabetes, hypertension, and dyslipidemia to observed associations. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 8.1 years, 19,754 (4.9%) individuals developed CVD, including 16,404 (4.1%) cases of CHD and 3976 (1.0%) cases of stroke. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of total CVD in higher quartiles versus the lowest quartiles were 1.05, 1.05, and 1.19, respectively, for TyG index, and 1.07, 1.13, and 1.29, respectively, for TG/HDL-C ratio. There were significant trends toward an increasing risk of CVD across the quartiles of TyG index and TG/HDL-C ratio. In mediation analyses, dyslipidemia, type 2 diabetes, and hypertension explained 45.8%, 27.0%, and 15.0% of TyG index's association with CVD, respectively, and 40.0%, 11.8%, and 13.3% of TG/HDL-C ratio's association with CVD, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated baseline TyG index and TG/HDL-C ratio were associated with a higher risk of CVD after adjustment for the well-established CVD risk factors. These associations were largely mediated by greater prevalence of dyslipidemia, type 2 diabetes, and hypertension.