Abstract
BACKGROUND: The subgroups of patients with intermediate-stage (BCLC-B) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who would truly benefit from hepatic resection (HR) are unknown. An objective point score was established to guide the selection of these patients for HR. METHODS: In all, 255 consecutive patients with intermediate-stage HCC treated with HR were evaluated retrospectively and included in this study (the training cohort). The variables on overall survival (OS, log-rank test) were investigated and a point score (the NSP score) was developed by using a Cox-regression model and validated in an independent external cohort from another institution (n=169). RESULTS: The NSP score differentiated two groups of patients (⩽1, >1 point) with distinct prognoses (median OS, 61.3 vs 19.3 months; P<0.001). A high NSP score was associated with increased major adverse events after HR (5.6 vs 13.8%, P=0.027). Its predictive accuracy as determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) at 1, 3, and 5 years (AUCs 0.688, 0.739, and 0.732) was greater than the other six staging systems for HCC (0.513-0.677). The findings were supported by the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The NSP scoring system is more accurate in selecting patients with intermediate-stage HCC for HR.