Travel Surveillance and Genomics Uncover a Hidden Zika Outbreak during the Waning Epidemic

旅行监测和基因组学揭示了寨卡疫情消退期间的一次隐性暴发

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作者:Nathan D Grubaugh ,Sharada Saraf ,Karthik Gangavarapu ,Alexander Watts ,Amanda L Tan ,Rachel J Oidtman ,Jason T Ladner ,Glenn Oliveira ,Nathaniel L Matteson ,Moritz U G Kraemer ,Chantal B F Vogels ,Aaron Hentoff ,Deepit Bhatia ,Danielle Stanek ,Blake Scott ,Vanessa Landis ,Ian Stryker ,Marshall R Cone ,Edgar W Kopp 4th ,Andrew C Cannons ,Lea Heberlein-Larson ,Stephen White ,Leah D Gillis ,Michael J Ricciardi ,Jaclyn Kwal ,Paola K Lichtenberger ,Diogo M Magnani ,David I Watkins ,Gustavo Palacios ,Davidson H Hamer ,T Alex Perkins ,Guy Baele ,Kamran Khan ,Andrea Morrison ,Sharon Isern ,Scott F Michael ,Kristian G Andersen

Abstract

The Zika epidemic in the Americas has challenged surveillance and control. As the epidemic appears to be waning, it is unclear whether transmission is still ongoing, which is exacerbated by discrepancies in reporting. To uncover locations with lingering outbreaks, we investigated travel-associated Zika cases to identify transmission not captured by reporting. We uncovered an unreported outbreak in Cuba during 2017, a year after peak transmission in neighboring islands. By sequencing Zika virus, we show that the establishment of the virus was delayed by a year and that the ensuing outbreak was sparked by long-lived lineages of Zika virus from other Caribbean islands. Our data suggest that, although mosquito control in Cuba may initially have been effective at mitigating Zika virus transmission, such measures need to be maintained to be effective. Our study highlights how Zika virus may still be "silently" spreading and provides a framework for understanding outbreak dynamics. VIDEO . Keywords: Zika epidemic; Zika virus; clinical sequencing; genomic epidemiology; infectious disease genomics; phylogenetics; travel surveillance; virus sequencing.

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