Abstract
BACKGROUND: Lymph node status is an important factor for the patients with non-functional pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (NF-PanNETs) with respect to the surgical methods, prognosis, recurrence. Our aim is to develop and validate a combination model based on contrast-enhanced CT images to predict the lymph node metastasis (LNM) in NF-PanNETs. METHODS: Retrospective data were gathered for 320 patients with NF-PanNETs who underwent curative pancreatic resection and CT imaging at two institutions (Center 1, n = 236 and Center 2, n = 84) between January 2010 and March 2022. RDPs (Radiomics deep learning signature) were developed based on ten machine-learning techniques. These signatures were integrated with the clinicopathological factors into a nomogram for clinical applications. The evaluation of the model's performance was conducted through the metrics of the area under the curve (AUC). FINDINGS: The RDPs showed excellent performance in both centers with a high AUC for predicting LNM and disease-free survival (DFS) in Center 1 (AUC, 0.88; 95% CI: 0.84-0.92; DFS, p < 0.05) and Center 2 (AUC, 0.91; 95% CI: 0.85-0.97; DFS, p < 0.05). The clinical factors of vascular invasion, perineural invasion, and tumor grade were associated with LNM (p < 0.05). The combination nomogram showed better prediction capability for LNM (AUC, 0.93; 95% CI: 0.89-0.96). Notably, our model maintained a satisfactory predictive ability for tumors at the 2-cm threshold, demonstrating its effectiveness across different tumor sizes in Center 1 (≤2 cm: AUC, 0.90 and >2 cm: AUC, 0.86) and Center 2 (≤2 cm: AUC, 0.93 and >2 cm: AUC, 0.91). INTERPRETATION: Our RDPs may have the potential to preoperatively predict LNM in NF-PanNETs, address the insufficiency of clinical guidelines concerning the 2-cm threshold for tumor lymph node dissection, and provide precise therapeutic strategies. FUNDING: This work was supported by JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number JP22K20814; the Rare Tumor Research Special Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82141104) and Clinical Research Special Project of Shanghai Municipal Health Commission (202340123).