Abstract
Nonrandom mating based on phenotype has been observed in a number of organisms, but a very high proportion of these examples are of assortative mating. The strongest example of negative-assortative mating is for white-striped versus tan-striped crown in the white-throated sparrow, where about 98% of the observed pairings (mated pairs or social pairs) are between mates with different phenotypes and the correlation between mating types is -0.964. Although nonrandom mating has been explored theoretically for decades, these models have generally not focused on specific well-documented examples. Here we have developed a model to investigate the dynamics and equilibrium of this iconic example. The observed pattern of mating appears to be the result of 96% negative-assortative mating and a 17% advantage of W (white) male × T (tan) female matings compared to the reciprocal T male × W female matings. The equilibrium heterozygosity given these values is 0.500, very close to the 0.501 observed in our large sample of pairings, and this heterozygosity has been maintained for the 29 years from 1988 to 2016. In addition, the equilibrium frequency of 2m inversion determining the white-striped phenotype has been maintained at a frequency very close to its equilibrium frequency of 0.25. Overall, this model demonstrates how evolutionary genetic models can be used to understand negative-assortative mating.