Abstract
BACKGROUND: To develop and validate a deep learning signature (DLS) from diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) for predicting overall survival in patients with infiltrative gliomas, and to investigate the biological pathways underlying the developed DLS. METHODS: The DLS was developed based on a deep learning cohort (n = 688). The key pathways underlying the DLS were identified on a radiogenomics cohort with paired DTI and RNA-seq data (n=78), where the prognostic value of the pathway genes was validated in public databases (TCGA, n = 663; CGGA, n = 657). FINDINGS: The DLS was associated with survival (log-rank P < 0.001) and was an independent predictor (P < 0.001). Incorporating the DLS into existing risk system resulted in a deep learning nomogram predicting survival better than either the DLS or the clinicomolecular nomogram alone, with a better calibration and classification accuracy (net reclassification improvement 0.646, P < 0.001). Five kinds of pathways (synaptic transmission, calcium signaling, glutamate secretion, axon guidance, and glioma pathways) were significantly correlated with the DLS. Average expression value of pathway genes showed prognostic significance in our radiogenomics cohort and TCGA/CGGA cohorts (log-rank P < 0.05). INTERPRETATION: DTI-derived DLS can improve glioma stratification by identifying risk groups with dysregulated biological pathways that contributed to survival outcomes. Therapies inhibiting neuron-to-brain tumor synaptic communication may be more effective in high-risk glioma defined by DTI-derived DLS. FUNDING: A full list of funding bodies that contributed to this study can be found in the Acknowledgements section.