Abstract
BACKGROUND: Insulin resistance (IR) is a recognized contributor to stroke association, and the estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) is a dependable indicator of IR. However, the specific connections between eGDR, stroke prevalence, and overall mortality have not been thoroughly investigated. This study aimed to examine how eGDR correlates with stroke and overall death rate. METHODS: The study leveraged information from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning from 2007 to 2016. To unravel the data, the team utilized logistic regression, cox proportional hazards models, and restricted cubic splines (RCS) Sensitivity analyses excluded participants with a stroke history within the previous two years. Results were validated through analysis of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). RESULTS: A higher eGDR is like a protective shield against strokes, with those in the top eGDR quartile exhibited a 60% reduction in stroke association (OR = 0.40, 95% CI, 0.22-0.73, P = 0.003). Additionally, a higher eGDR correlates with a lower overall death rate (HR = 0.71, 95% CI, 0.52-0.98, P = 0.037), particularly in individuals without a history of stroke. RCS analysis demonstrated that eGDR's influence on stroke association follows a non-linear pattern. Subgroup analysis revealed that the protective effect of eGDR was stronger in non-diabetic and non-hypertensive individuals. CONCLUSION: eGDR is inversely related to both stroke association and mortality, affirming its utility as a predictive marker of stroke.