Abstract
BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is a clinical syndrome caused by ventricular dysfunction, which leads to the decline of activity tolerance and repeated hospitalization, which seriously affects the quality of life and is the main cause of death of the elderly. It has long been observed that the pathophysiological mechanism of HF is associated with systemic inflammation. This study aims to explore the association between the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), a novel biomarker of inflammation, and outcomes in elderly patients with HF. METHODS: Data was extracted from the Medical Information Mart data for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database and the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University. The primary outcome was 90-day all-cause mortality. The secondary outcomes included 1-year all-cause mortality, the length of hospital or intensive care unit (ICU) stay, and the need for renal replacement therapy (RRT). Cox proportional hazards regression, linear regression, and logistic regression models were used to assess the association between SIRI levels and all-cause mortality, the length of hospital or ICU stay, the need for RRT, respectively. Moreover, Pearson correlation analysis was conducted to evaluate the correlation between SIRI and C-reactive protein (CRP). RESULTS: This study cohort included 3,964 patients from the MIMIC-III database and 261 patients from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University. The result suggested that SIRI was independently associated with the 90-day, and 1-year all-cause mortality in elderly patients with HF (tertile 3 vs. tertile 1: adjusted HR, 95% CI: 1.41 (1.18, 1.68), 1.19 (1.03, 1.37); p trend = 0.0013, 0.0260; respectively). Elevated SIRI was associated with increased the length of hospital or ICU stay after adjusting for multiple confounders (tertile 3 vs. tertile 1: β, 95% CI: 0.85 (0.16, 1.54); 0.62 (0.18, 1.06); p trend = 0.0095, 0.0046; respectively). Furthermore, we found that patients with higher SIRI levels were more likely to require RRT (tertile 3 vs. tertile 1: OR, 95% CI: 1.55 (1.06, 2.28); p trend = 0.0459). Moreover, we confirmed that SIRI was statistically positively correlated with CRP (correlation coefficient r = 0.343, p <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: SIRI could be a novel promising inflammatory biomarker for predicting all-cause mortality in elderly patients with HF. And the patients with higher SIRI values had the longer length of hospital or ICU stay and were more likely to require for RRT. Of note, this study also verified a statistically significant positive correlation between SIRI and the inflammatory marker CRP, highlighting the importance of systemic inflammation as a determinant of outcome in patients with HF.