Abstract
BACKGROUND: Bladder cancer is the 10th most common cancer globally, with a growing incidence in Japan. Evaluation of molecular, genetic, and cellular biomarkers that predict treatment response and prognosis in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) may help optimize sequential treatment strategies with chemotherapy and immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). METHODS: This multicenter, retrospective cohort study, evaluated programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression, tumor mutational burden (TMB), and cancer-immune phenotype as predictive prognostic biomarkers following first-/second-line treatment in Japanese adult patients with mUC. The primary endpoint was prevalence of PD-L1 expression. Secondary endpoints were TMB, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) from initiation of first-line treatment, and exploratory endpoints were cancer-immune phenotype, OS, PFS, and treatment response according to potential biomarker status. RESULTS: Of the 143 patients included (mean age 71.7 years), PD-L1 expression was high in 29.4% of patients. Non-synonymous TMB was high in 33.6% and low in 66.4%. Cancer-immune phenotype was immune-desert in 62.9%, immune-excluded in 30.8%, and inflamed in 6.3%. Median OS and PFS following first-line treatment were 18.2 and 7.4 months, respectively. Overall response to second-line treatment was slightly better with high versus low/negative PD-L1 expression. PD-L1 expression and TMB were non-significant predictors of OS or PFS, whereas immune-excluded phenotype was associated with better OS in comparison with immune-desert phenotype. CONCLUSION: PD-L1 expression and TMB were non-significant predictors of prognosis after first-line treatment in Japanese patients with mUC, but cancer-immune phenotype may be an important prognostic factor in chemotherapy-ICI sequential treatment strategies. Clinical trial registration number UMIN000037727.