A mathematical model for COVID-19 transmission by using the Caputo fractional derivative

利用 Caputo 分数阶导数建立 COVID-19 传播的数学模型

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Abstract

We present a mathematical model for the transmission of COVID-19 by the Caputo fractional-order derivative. We calculate the equilibrium points and the reproduction number for the model and obtain the region of the feasibility of system. By fixed point theory, we prove the existence of a unique solution. Using the generalized Adams-Bashforth-Moulton method, we solve the system and obtain the approximate solutions. We present a numerical simulation for the transmission of COVID-19 in the world, and in this simulation, the reproduction number is obtained as R0 = 1:610007996,  which shows that the epidemic continues.

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