Role of biological markers and CT severity score in predicting mortality in patients with COVID‑19: An observational retrospective study

生物标志物和CT严重程度评分在预测COVID-19患者死亡率中的作用:一项观察性回顾性研究

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Abstract

COVID-19 pandemic is a continuing ongoing emergency of public concern. Early identification of markers associated with disease severity and mortality can lead to a prompter therapeutic approach. The present study conducted a multivariate analysis of different markers associated with mortality in order to establish their predictive role. Confirmed cases of 697 patients were examined. Demographic data, clinical symptoms and comorbidities were evaluated. Laboratory and imaging severity scores were reviewed. A total of 133 (19.1%) out of 697 patients succumbed during hospitalization. Obesity was the most common comorbidity, followed by hypertension, diabetes, coronary heart disease and chronic kidney disease. Compared with the survivor patients, non-survivors had a higher prevalence of diabetes, chronic kidney disease and coronary heart disease, as well as higher values of laboratory markers such as neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), D-dimer, procalcitonin, IL-6 and C Reactive protein (CRP) and respectively high values of imaging severity scores. Multivariate regression analysis showed that high values of the proposed markers and chest computerized tomography (CT) severity imaging score were predictive for in hospital death: NLR [hazard ratio (HR): 3.127 confidence interval (CI) 95: 2.137-4.576]; D-dimer [HR: 6.223 (CI 95:3.809-10.167)]; procalcitonin [HR: 4.414 (CI 95:2.804-6.948)]; IL-6 [HR: 3.344 (CI 95:1.423-7.855)]; CRP [HR:2.997 (CI 95:1.940-4.630)]; and CT severity score [HR: 3.068 (CI 95:1.777-5.299)]. Laboratory markers and imaging severity scores could be used to stratify mortality risk in COVID-19 patients.

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