The predictive accuracy of preoperative erythrocyte count and maximum tumor diameter to maximum kidney diameter ratio in renal cell carcinoma

术前红细胞计数和最大肿瘤直径与最大肾脏直径比值对肾细胞癌的预测准确性

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to investigate the predictive accuracy of erythrocyte count and maximum tumor diameter to maximum kidney diameter ratio (TKR) in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the clinicopathological epidemiological characteristics of patients with RCC in the First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University from 2010 to 2014. Among them, 295 cases with complete follow-up data at the time of visit were selected. We collected data including erythrocyte counts and length of each diameter line of the tumor and kidney. To predict the prognosis of RCC, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to calculate the cutoff value of each parameter. RESULTS: Of the 295 included patients, 199 (67.5%) were male, 96 (32.5%) were female, and the mean (± SD) age was 56.45±11.03 years. The area under the curve (AUC) of the erythrocyte count and the TKR for predicting the prognosis of RCC were 0.672 (SD 0.031; P<0.001) and 0.800 (SD 0.030; P<0.001), respectively. When the cutoff value of the erythrocyte count and TKR count were 3.975 and 0.452, the highest Youden index values were 0.309 and 0.685, and the corresponding sensitivity and specificity were 0.826 and 0.685, and 0.483 and 1.000, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: An erythrocyte count <3.975×10(12)/L and a TKR >0.452 were found to be risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with RCC.

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